Pokespective

Pupitar

Aquapolis · Uncommon

Forecast: slight edge · 61%NormalVintage
Price
$9.48
Interest score
59/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 19% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($5.45–$9.76)

Pupitar — price history
$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.288Seller confidence+0.288Price steadiness: -0.090Price steadiness-0.0902-month trend: -0.0622-month trend-0.062Unusual move: -0.053Unusual move-0.0531-month trend: -0.0501-month trend-0.050Listing tightness: +0.018Listing tightness+0.018Near its high: -0.007Near its high-0.0074-month trend: -0.0024-month trend-0.002

Its interest score of 59 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 59 out of 100

It ranks above 60% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and jumpy price

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. The price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-1.1%
Past 2 months-4.5%
Past 4 months-2.3%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$9.48 - cheap for its set

At $9.48 it is one of the cheaper cards in its set - number 274 of 337 by price. Against other Uncommon cards it sits at the 90th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Uncommon from a 24-year-old set

Uncommon is a common tier - 11,470 tracked cards share it. The set is about 24 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 12% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $9.48 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 61% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +4.5% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
61%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+4.5%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
44
thin data — treat loosely

$8.29 – $13.09 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $9.37 and $11.44. Today it is $9.48.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$9.48What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$10.86The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$16.41The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+73.1%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-1.1%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-4.5%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-2.3%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-2.2%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.0Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-2.9%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0260Jumpy
How often it trades12%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed44How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age23.7 yearsVintage
Interest score60 / 100Ranks above 60% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID88,446For looking it up elsewhere

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