Pokespective

Swinub (108)

Skyridge · Common

Forecast: slight edge · 58%NormalVintage
Price
$17.82
Interest score
76/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 16% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($10.90–$18.15)

Swinub (108) — price history
$7.50$10.00$12.50$15.00$17.50 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.307Seller confidence+0.3072-month trend: -0.0482-month trend-0.0481-month trend: +0.0361-month trend+0.036Unusual move: +0.027Unusual move+0.027Price steadiness: -0.020Price steadiness-0.0204-month trend: -0.0094-month trend-0.009Near its high: -0.002Near its high-0.002Listing tightness: -0.001Listing tightness-0.001

Its interest score of 76 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 76 out of 100

It ranks above 76% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and sliding for 2 months

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. It has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+2.0%
Past 2 months-3.5%
Past 4 months-6.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$17.82 - cheap for its set

At $17.82 it is one of the cheaper cards in its set - number 280 of 332 by price. Against other Common cards it sits at the 92th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Common from a 23-year-old set

Common is a common tier - 12,381 tracked cards share it. The set is about 23 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 8% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $17.82 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $39.82 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 58% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +5.1% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
58%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+5.1%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
54
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$16.72 – $23.88 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $18.09 and $21.27. Today it is $17.82.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$17.82What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$20.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$33.37The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+87.3%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+2.0%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market-3.5%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-6.5%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-15.5%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-1.8%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0180Calm and steady
How often it trades8%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed31How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age23.4 yearsVintage
Interest score76 / 100Ranks above 76% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID89,701For looking it up elsewhere

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