Pokespective

Water Energy

HeartGold SoulSilver · Common

Forecast: slightly behind · 40%NormalVintage
Price
$25.56
Interest score
48/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 78% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($20.71–$25.94)

Water Energy — price history
$20.00$22.00$24.00$26.00$28.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.231Seller confidence-0.231Listing tightness: +0.084Listing tightness+0.084Price steadiness: +0.071Price steadiness+0.0712-month trend: -0.0492-month trend-0.049Unusual move: +0.027Unusual move+0.0274-month trend: -0.0214-month trend-0.0211-month trend: +0.0021-month trend+0.002Near its high: +0.000Near its high+0.000

Its interest score of 48 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 48 out of 100

It ranks above 48% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and tight listings

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. Asking prices are clustered tightly together, which is the mark of an orderly market.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+0.7%
Past 2 months-3.6%
Past 4 months-12.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$25.56 - expensive for its set

At $25.56 it is expensive for its set - number 53 of 232 by price. Against other Common cards it sits at the 94th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Common from a 17-year-old set

Common is a common tier - 12,381 tracked cards share it. The set is about 17 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 14% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $25.56 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $47.56 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 40% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +1.9% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
40%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+1.9%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
75
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$24.00 – $32.65 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $25.49 and $29.25. Today it is $25.56.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$25.56What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$21.47The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$25.01The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-2.2%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+0.7%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market-3.6%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-12.9%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-24.1%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-1.5%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0110Calm and steady
How often it trades14%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed51How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age16.6 yearsVintage
Interest score48 / 100Ranks above 48% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID90,512For looking it up elsewhere

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