Pokespective

Lucario EX (107 Full Art)

XY - Furious Fists · Ultra Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 31%HolofoilVintage
Price
$146.48
Interest score
17/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 100% of the cards we track in this set · near the bottom of its 12-month range ($144.25–$155.47)

Lucario EX (107 Full Art) — price history
$25.00$50.00$75.00$100.00$125.00$150.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.290Seller confidence-0.290Unusual move: -0.145Unusual move-0.1451-month trend: -0.1141-month trend-0.114Price steadiness: +0.106Price steadiness+0.1062-month trend: -0.0502-month trend-0.0504-month trend: -0.0254-month trend-0.025Near its high: -0.019Near its high-0.019Listing tightness: -0.014Listing tightness-0.014

Its interest score of 17 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 17 out of 100

It ranks above 18% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and sudden drop

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-3.5%
Past 2 months-3.6%
Past 4 months-14.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$146.48 - expensive for its set

At $146.48 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 2 of 210 by price. Against other Ultra Rare cards it sits at the 89th percentile - toward the top. It is 6% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

#2 most valuable in its set

Ultra Rare is a common tier - 2,592 tracked cards share it. Only 1 card(s) in this set are worth more. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 12 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 13% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $146.48 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 15% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 31% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -0.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
31%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-0.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
78
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$134.56 – $180.45 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $142.50 and $162.46. Today it is $146.48.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$146.48What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$76.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$137.35The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-6.2%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market-3.5%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-3.6%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-14.9%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-5.2%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-5.8%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0093Calm and steady
How often it trades13%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed46How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age12.1 yearsVintage
Interest score18 / 100Ranks above 18% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID92,290For looking it up elsewhere

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