Pokespective

Pikachu - 42/146 (2014 Movie Promo)

Miscellaneous Cards & Products · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 53%HolofoilJust released
Price
$16.06
Interest score
44/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 66% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($10.27–$16.62)

Pikachu - 42/146 (2014 Movie Promo) — price history
$5.00$10.00$15.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.076Seller confidence-0.076Price steadiness: +0.071Price steadiness+0.0712-month trend: -0.0652-month trend-0.0651-month trend: -0.0391-month trend-0.039Unusual move: -0.033Unusual move-0.033Listing tightness: -0.015Listing tightness-0.015Near its high: -0.010Near its high-0.0104-month trend: -0.0084-month trend-0.008

Its interest score of 44 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 44 out of 100

It ranks above 44% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and very steady price

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.7%
Past 2 months-4.7%
Past 4 months-5.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$16.06 - mid-priced for its set

At $16.06 it is mid-priced for its set - number 211 of 619 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 60th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a recent set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is brand new - prices this early are driven by hype and packs still being opened, and usually settle downward.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 43% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $16.06 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $38.06 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 53% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +4.2% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
53%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+4.2%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
88
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$15.43 – $21.00 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $16.39 and $18.81. Today it is $16.06.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$16.06What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$9.13The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$16.65The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+3.7%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-0.7%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-4.7%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-5.9%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-7.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-3.4%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0110Calm and steady
How often it trades43%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed157How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age0.0 yearsJust released
Interest score44 / 100Ranks above 44% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID98,641For looking it up elsewhere

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