Pokespective

Pikachu

SM - Cosmic Eclipse · Common · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 52%Reverse HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$9.91
Interest score
65/100 — Above average
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 84% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($2.35–$9.94)

Pikachu — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Listing tightness: -0.073Listing tightness-0.073Seller confidence: +0.045Seller confidence+0.0452-month trend: +0.0422-month trend+0.0424-month trend: +0.0344-month trend+0.034Unusual move: +0.026Unusual move+0.0261-month trend: +0.0251-month trend+0.025Near its high: +0.010Near its high+0.010Price steadiness: +0.005Price steadiness+0.005

Its interest score of 65 out of 100 is driven most by listing tightness — scattered listings. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 65 out of 100

It ranks above 65% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Scattered listings and sellers holding firm

Asking prices are scattered, so the quoted price is not really the price. People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+1.6%
Past 2 months+3.6%
Past 4 months+37.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$9.91 - expensive for its set

At $9.91 it is expensive for its set - number 77 of 464 by price. Against other Common cards it sits at the 89th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Common from a 7-year-old set

Common is a common tier - 12,381 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 45% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $9.91 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 52% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +4.2% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
52%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+4.2%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
76
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$9.35 – $13.18 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $10.02 and $11.71. Today it is $9.91.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$9.91What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$3.50The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$10.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+10.9%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+1.6%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+3.6%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+37.5%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+0.7%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.3%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0158Calm and steady
How often it trades45%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed166How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.9 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score65 / 100Ranks above 65% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID201,241For looking it up elsewhere

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