Pokespective

Marshadow

SM - Cosmic Eclipse · Rare

Forecast: slightly behind · 40%NormalSettled and climbing
Price
$5.95
Interest score
19/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 80% of the cards we track in this set · near the bottom of its 12-month range ($0.52–$25.73)

Marshadow — price history
$0.00$10.00$20.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: -0.146Unusual move-0.1462-month trend: -0.1302-month trend-0.1301-month trend: -0.1281-month trend-0.128Near its high: -0.119Near its high-0.119Seller confidence: -0.087Seller confidence-0.087Price steadiness: +0.053Price steadiness+0.053Listing tightness: +0.040Listing tightness+0.0404-month trend: -0.0064-month trend-0.006

Its interest score of 19 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden drop. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 19 out of 100

It ranks above 20% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden drop and sliding for 2 months

The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement. It has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-4.2%
Past 2 months-9.8%
Past 4 months-5.1%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$5.95 - expensive for its set

At $5.95 it is expensive for its set - number 95 of 464 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 72th percentile. It is 332% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 7-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 65% of our checks over the past year across 364 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $5.95 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 40% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -1.9% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
40%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-1.9%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
85
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$5.35 – $7.37 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $5.70 and $6.58. Today it is $5.95.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$5.95What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$4.50The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$6.13The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+3.0%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-4.2%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-9.8%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-5.1%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-5.2%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-76.9%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0121Calm and steady
How often it trades65%Trades readily
Price checks on record364Observations in the past year
Times the price changed237How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.9 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score20 / 100Ranks above 20% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID201,278For looking it up elsewhere

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