Pokespective
Lugia (XY Fates Collide) 078/124 Deck Exclusives Pokémon card

Holo Rare

Lugia (XY Fates Collide) 078/124 · Deck Exclusives

No reliable market price (asking prices far above recent sales)

Last recorded $20.59 — asking prices far above recent sales

Listing context limited

TCGplayer listings · Snapshot Oct 1, 2026

The listed median is more than three times the recent-sales market price. That gap can reflect a thin market or unrealistic asks.

USD · across conditions · before shipping. Asking prices are not completed sales; listing and seller counts are not supplied.

Asking prices over the past 90 days
Listed median / Market price$12.50$15.00$17.50$20.00Jul 4, 2026 · Market price $19.38Jul 5, 2026 · Market price $19.38Jul 6, 2026 · Market price $19.38Jul 7, 2026 · Market price $19.38Jul 8, 2026 · Market price $19.38Jul 9, 2026 · Market price $19.42Jul 10, 2026 · Market price $19.42Jul 11, 2026 · Market price $19.42Jul 12, 2026 · Market price $19.42Jul 13, 2026 · Market price $19.43Jul 14, 2026 · Market price $19.43Jul 15, 2026 · Market price $19.43Jul 16, 2026 · Market price $19.43Jul 17, 2026 · Market price $19.56Jul 18, 2026 · Market price $19.56Jul 19, 2026 · Market price $19.37Jul 20, 2026 · Market price $19.66Jul 21, 2026 · Market price $19.66Jul 22, 2026 · Market price $19.76Jul 23, 2026 · Market price $19.76Jul 24, 2026 · Market price $19.75Jul 25, 2026 · Market price $19.75Jul 26, 2026 · Market price $19.88Jul 27, 2026 · Market price $19.88Jul 28, 2026 · Market price $20.06Jul 29, 2026 · Market price $18.90Jul 30, 2026 · Market price $18.90Jul 31, 2026 · Market price $18.90Aug 1, 2026 · Market price $18.80Aug 2, 2026 · Market price $18.80Aug 3, 2026 · Market price $18.80Aug 4, 2026 · Market price $17.36Aug 5, 2026 · Market price $17.36Aug 6, 2026 · Market price $17.36Aug 7, 2026 · Market price $17.45Aug 8, 2026 · Market price $17.52Aug 9, 2026 · Market price $17.52Aug 10, 2026 · Market price $17.09Aug 11, 2026 · Market price $17.34Aug 12, 2026 · Market price $17.56Aug 13, 2026 · Market price $18.19Aug 14, 2026 · Market price $18.24Aug 15, 2026 · Market price $18.24Aug 16, 2026 · Market price $18.24Aug 17, 2026 · Market price $18.24Aug 18, 2026 · Market price $18.24Aug 19, 2026 · Market price $18.53Aug 20, 2026 · Market price $18.53Aug 21, 2026 · Market price $18.54Aug 22, 2026 · Market price $18.54Aug 23, 2026 · Market price $18.54Aug 24, 2026 · Market price $18.54Aug 25, 2026 · Market price $18.54Aug 26, 2026 · Market price $18.54Aug 27, 2026 · Market price $18.54Aug 28, 2026 · Market price $18.30Aug 29, 2026 · Market price $18.30Aug 30, 2026 · Market price $18.30Aug 31, 2026 · Market price $18.30Sep 1, 2026 · Market price $18.30Sep 2, 2026 · Market price $18.30Sep 3, 2026 · Market price $18.00Sep 4, 2026 · Market price $17.88Sep 5, 2026 · Market price $17.88Sep 6, 2026 · Market price $18.03Sep 7, 2026 · Market price $17.98Sep 8, 2026 · Market price $17.98Sep 9, 2026 · Market price $18.17Sep 10, 2026 · Market price $18.09Sep 11, 2026 · Market price $18.09Sep 12, 2026 · Market price $18.16Sep 13, 2026 · Market price $18.16Sep 14, 2026 · Market price $18.22Sep 15, 2026 · Market price $18.22Sep 16, 2026 · Market price $18.22Sep 17, 2026 · Market price $18.21Sep 18, 2026 · Market price $18.28Sep 19, 2026 · Market price $18.28Sep 20, 2026 · Market price $18.28Jul 4, 2026 · Listed median $15.58Jul 5, 2026 · Listed median $18.17Jul 6, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Jul 7, 2026 · Listed median $18.90Jul 8, 2026 · Listed median $18.90Jul 9, 2026 · Listed median $19.37Jul 10, 2026 · Listed median $19.37Jul 11, 2026 · Listed median $18.80Jul 12, 2026 · Listed median $18.88Jul 13, 2026 · Listed median $18.80Jul 14, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Jul 15, 2026 · Listed median $17.63Jul 16, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Jul 17, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Jul 18, 2026 · Listed median $17.63Jul 19, 2026 · Listed median $18.80Jul 20, 2026 · Listed median $20.00Jul 21, 2026 · Listed median $20.00Jul 22, 2026 · Listed median $20.00Jul 23, 2026 · Listed median $19.99Jul 24, 2026 · Listed median $19.99Jul 25, 2026 · Listed median $19.99Jul 26, 2026 · Listed median $19.01Jul 27, 2026 · Listed median $19.76Jul 28, 2026 · Listed median $19.91Jul 29, 2026 · Listed median $19.99Jul 30, 2026 · Listed median $19.60Jul 31, 2026 · Listed median $19.60Aug 1, 2026 · Listed median $19.25Aug 2, 2026 · Listed median $17.95Aug 3, 2026 · Listed median $17.10Aug 4, 2026 · Listed median $17.35Aug 5, 2026 · Listed median $18.05Aug 6, 2026 · Listed median $18.05Aug 7, 2026 · Listed median $16.65Aug 8, 2026 · Listed median $17.52Aug 9, 2026 · Listed median $18.40Aug 10, 2026 · Listed median $18.32Aug 11, 2026 · Listed median $18.64Aug 12, 2026 · Listed median $18.64Aug 13, 2026 · Listed median $18.45Aug 14, 2026 · Listed median $18.05Aug 15, 2026 · Listed median $17.93Aug 16, 2026 · Listed median $17.88Aug 17, 2026 · Listed median $17.92Aug 18, 2026 · Listed median $17.55Aug 19, 2026 · Listed median $19.15Aug 20, 2026 · Listed median $18.60Aug 21, 2026 · Listed median $18.45Aug 22, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Aug 23, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Aug 24, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Aug 25, 2026 · Listed median $17.84Aug 26, 2026 · Listed median $17.62Aug 27, 2026 · Listed median $17.84Aug 28, 2026 · Listed median $18.35Aug 29, 2026 · Listed median $18.08Aug 30, 2026 · Listed median $17.92Aug 31, 2026 · Listed median $17.92Sep 1, 2026 · Listed median $18.13Sep 2, 2026 · Listed median $17.92Sep 3, 2026 · Listed median $17.57Sep 4, 2026 · Listed median $15.58Sep 5, 2026 · Listed median $15.10Sep 6, 2026 · Listed median $11.37Sep 7, 2026 · Listed median $15.00Sep 8, 2026 · Listed median $16.43Sep 9, 2026 · Listed median $16.85Sep 10, 2026 · Listed median $15.40Sep 11, 2026 · Listed median $15.25Sep 12, 2026 · Listed median $17.95Sep 13, 2026 · Listed median $17.88Sep 14, 2026 · Listed median $17.42Sep 15, 2026 · Listed median $17.77Sep 16, 2026 · Listed median $17.77Sep 17, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Sep 18, 2026 · Listed median $18.25Sep 19, 2026 · Listed median $17.29Sep 20, 2026 · Listed median $17.77Jul 4, 2026Oct 1, 2026
Listed medianMarket price

Daily summaries, not individual listings. Gaps mark missing or rejected readings; lines also break when checks are more than three days apart.

Recent snapshots
DateListed medianMarket price
Oct 1, 2026--
Sep 30, 2026--
Sep 29, 2026--
Sep 28, 2026--
Sep 27, 2026--
Sep 26, 2026--
Sep 25, 2026--
View listings on eBayLive listings for this card, raw and graded copies.

Buying through this link supports Pokespective with a small commission. It never costs you more, and it never changes our numbers.

Before you buy

No reliable price

It trades, with patience, and is widely printed.

Price

No reliable price

Median asking prices sit far above the recent-sales market price, so this price fails our reliability check.

Versus the market

Not enough trading to say

Its listings are too thin to trust the price, so it is not compared with the market.

The next 60 days

No forecast

The price isn't reliable enough to project (asking prices far above recent sales), so no range or chance of beating the market is shown.

Buying and selling

Trades, with patience

31% of our price checks saw it move

Expect to wait a little for the right copy or buyer.

Scarcity

Widely printed

Holo Rare: 3,435 of the cards we track (8%).

Grading

Cannot say

Grading maths starts from a reliable raw price.

Compare this card's TCGplayer market price, listing prices, historical range and model outlook before you buy. Research for collectors; not personal investment advice.

Price history

No forecast

The price isn't reliable enough to project (asking prices far above recent sales), so no range or chance of beating the market is shown.

$10.00$15.00$20.00 Today Nov 2025Jan 2026MarMayJulSep
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00 Today Mar 2024SepMarSepMarSep
Price

Card analysis: Why it scores where it does

96

Standout

96 out of 100. It is in the top 5% of everything we track.

Seller confidenceSellers holding firm
1-month trendClimbing this month
Unusual moveFirmer recent move than most
Listing tightnessScattered listings
2-month trendFirmer than most over 2 months
Price steadinessJumpy price

Each ingredient is weighted by how well it has preceded price moves in this market's own history. The exact weights and readings are in The full read.

The full read

Every question we ask of a card, and every number behind the answers.
Forecast: not usable (asking prices far above recent sales)Set: vintage

Price history, listings and card analysis

Lugia (XY Fates Collide) 078/124 Deck Exclusives (Holofoil).

Beating the market, or just riding it?

Not enough trading to say

Its listings are too thin to trust the price, so it is not compared with the market.

Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.

Is this card interesting right now?

Scores 96, but do not trust it

Median asking prices are 9.7x the recent-sales market price. That gap can reflect outlier asks or a thin market; it does not tell us how many copies are listed. Check the listings before believing this ranking. The score is computed the same way as for every other card, and on this one the ingredients are being fed by a listing that does not represent a real market. Treat the ranking as unreliable until the listings look normal again.

Why is it interesting?

Not meaningful here

Median asking prices sit far above the recent-sales market price, so this price fails our reliability check. The ingredients are read off those listings, so they describe one seller's price rather than the card.

Is it becoming more popular?

Not enough trading to say

Median asking prices sit far above the recent-sales market price, so this price fails our reliability check. A trend measured from that figure would say nothing about how the card is doing against the market.

Is it expensive or cheap?

No reliable price - last recorded $20.59

Median asking prices sit far above the recent-sales market price, so this price fails our reliability check. The last recorded figure is shown for reference only, so it is not ranked against the rest of its set. The listings and recent sales on TCGplayer are the place to judge what a copy costs.

What makes this card unusual?

A Holo Rare from a 10-year-old set

Holo Rare is a widely printed rarity - 3,435 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 31% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

How does the grading fee compare?

Cannot say - no reliable price

Median asking prices sit far above the recent-sales market price, so this price fails our reliability check. The grading maths starts from what a raw copy is worth, so there is nothing to work it out from. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.

The score's ingredients

IngredientWeightEffect on the scoreTrack record
Seller confidence30%+0.644Strong record
1-month trend16%+0.191Strong record
Unusual move16%+0.164Strong record
Listing tightness6%-0.128No measured edge
2-month trend14%+0.052Consistent record
Near its high5%+0.043Consistent record
Price steadiness10%-0.041Weak record
4-month trend3%+0.008Consistent record

Every number behind this page

Last recorded price$20.59Not a market price: asking prices far above recent sales
Cheapest listing$25.03The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$200.50The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+873.8%Read off listings that are not a real market
1-month trend vs market+11.4%Measured from a price that is not reliable
2-month trend vs market+4.7%Measured from a price that is not reliable
4-month trend vs market+4.9%Measured from a price that is not reliable
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-4.0%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+1.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0202Jumpy
How often it trades31%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed113How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age10.1 yearsVintage
Interest score96 / 100Ranks above 96% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID123,466For looking it up elsewhere