Frogadier SV12/SV94 · Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault

Beating the market, or just riding it?

Moving with the market

Over the last 2 months this card rose 0.6%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it finished 3.8% behind the market, inside the 10% either way we count as moving with it. Its price has mostly been riding the market.

Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 71 out of 100

It ranks above 71% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Climbing this month and firmer recent move than most

It has done better than the rest of the market over the past month. The recent move is within this card's normal range, but stronger than most cards' moves this month. Working against it: it edged ahead of the market over two months, but by less than most cards did.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Is it expensive or cheap?

$6.50 - cheap for its set

At $6.50 it is one of the cheaper cards in its set - number 65 of 94 by price. It costs more than 54% of other Shiny Holo Rare cards we track. It is 7% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Shiny Holo Rare - genuinely scarce

Only 246 of the cards we track are Shiny Holo Rare - under 0.6% of them. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 7 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 67% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

How does the grading fee compare?

Fee exceeds raw price

A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 338% of the $6.50 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $28.50, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.