Price history, listings and card analysis
Toxtricity ex 227/182 Paradox Rift (Holofoil). TCGplayer market price: $3.52 as of Oct 1, 2026. Recorded price history: 967 daily market-price observations, Feb 8, 2024 to Oct 1, 2026. 12-month recorded market-price range: $2.15 – $4.00. Performance versus the market: Over the last 2 months this card rose 20.1%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it has beaten the market by 14.8%. TCGplayer lowest listed ask: $2.00 as of Oct 1, 2026, across conditions, before shipping. TCGplayer listed median: $3.70 as of Oct 1, 2026. Pokespective interest score: 33 out of 100 (Ordinary); It ranks above 33% of the cards we track. 60-day price forecast: An estimated 58% chance of beating the typical tracked card over 60 days; in a typical outcome it would end about 2.8% ahead. Four times in five the price lands between $3.12 and $4.82. 60-day forecast: Likely range: $3.12 – $4.82; 8 in 10 outcomes. 60-day forecast: Middle half: $3.44 – $4.19; half of outcomes land here. 60-day forecast: Typical outcome: $3.76; +2.8% versus the market. 60-day forecast: Confidence: 58 / 100; a narrow range, not a better outcome.
Beating the market, or just riding it?
Beating the market
Over the last 2 months this card rose 20.1%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it has beaten the market by 14.8%.
Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.
Is this card interesting right now?
Ordinary - 33 out of 100
It ranks above 33% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.
Why is it interesting?
Slipping this month and climbing for 2 months
It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month. It has done better than the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip.
Is it becoming more popular?
Mixed
Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.
Past month-6.3%
Past 2 months+14.8%
Past 4 months-5.8%
Is it expensive or cheap?
$3.52 - expensive for its set
At $3.52 it is expensive for its set - number 59 of 428 by price. It costs more than 33% of other Ultra Rare cards we track. It is 12% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.
What makes this card unusual?
An ordinary Ultra Rare from a 3-year-old set
Ultra Rare is a widely printed rarity - 2,593 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.
Could you actually buy or sell it?
Easily - it trades often
The price changed in 92% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.
How does the grading fee compare?
Fee exceeds raw price
A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 625% of the $3.52 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $25.52, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.
TCGplayer market price on the last day we have for each month; the current month so far.
