Price history, listings and card analysis
Ponyta 004/034 Trading Card Game Classic (Holofoil). TCGplayer market price: $4.81 as of Oct 1, 2026. Recorded price history: 967 daily market-price observations, Feb 8, 2024 to Oct 1, 2026. 12-month recorded market-price range: $0.89 – $5.05. Performance versus the market: Over the last 2 months this card rose 5.3%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it finished 0.6% ahead of the market, inside the 10% either way we count as moving with it. Its price has mostly been riding the market. TCGplayer lowest listed ask: $3.49 as of Oct 1, 2026, across conditions, before shipping. TCGplayer listed median: $4.99 as of Oct 1, 2026. Pokespective interest score: 39 out of 100 (Ordinary); It ranks above 39% of the cards we track. 60-day price forecast: An estimated 39% chance of beating the typical tracked card over 60 days; in a typical outcome it would end about 3.7% behind. Four times in five the price lands between $4.05 and $6.06. 60-day forecast: Likely range: $4.05 – $6.06; 8 in 10 outcomes. 60-day forecast: Middle half: $4.43 – $5.32; half of outcomes land here. 60-day forecast: Typical outcome: $4.81; -3.7% versus the market. 60-day forecast: Confidence: 61 / 100; a narrow range, not a better outcome.
Beating the market, or just riding it?
Moving with the market
Over the last 2 months this card rose 5.3%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it finished 0.6% ahead of the market, inside the 10% either way we count as moving with it. Its price has mostly been riding the market.
Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.
Is this card interesting right now?
Ordinary - 39 out of 100
It ranks above 39% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.
Why is it interesting?
Slipping this month and softer recent move than most
It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month. The recent move is within this card's normal range, but weaker than most cards' moves this month.
Is it becoming more popular?
Mostly yes
Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.
Past month-2.4%
Past 2 months+0.6%
Past 4 months+0.0%
Is it expensive or cheap?
$4.81 - expensive for its set
At $4.81 it is expensive for its set - number 27 of 102 by price. It costs more than 55% of other Classic Collection cards we track. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.
What makes this card unusual?
Classic Collection - genuinely scarce
Only 159 of the cards we track are Classic Collection - under 0.4% of them. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.
Could you actually buy or sell it?
Yes, with patience
The price changed in 44% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.
How does the grading fee compare?
Fee exceeds raw price
A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 457% of the $4.81 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $26.81, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.
TCGplayer market price on the last day we have for each month; the current month so far.
