Arboliva 104/091 · Paldean Fates

Beating the market, or just riding it?

Moving with the market

Over the last 2 months this card rose 10.5%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it finished 5.6% ahead of the market, inside the 10% either way we count as moving with it. Its price has mostly been riding the market.

Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 36 out of 100

It ranks above 37% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers less firm than most and slipping this month

Asking prices sit above recent sales, but by less than on most cards - so relative to the rest of the market, sellers here are less firm. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mostly yes

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Is it expensive or cheap?

$2.95 - mid-priced for its set

At $2.95 it is mid-priced for its set - number 113 of 327 by price. It costs more than 22% of other Shiny Rare cards we track. It is 8% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Shiny Rare - genuinely scarce

Only 120 of the cards we track are Shiny Rare - under 0.3% of them. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 79% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

How does the grading fee compare?

Fee exceeds raw price

A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 746% of the $2.95 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $24.95, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.