Price history, listings and card analysis
Rufflet 154/086 Black Bolt (Holofoil). TCGplayer market price: $7.87 as of Oct 1, 2026. Recorded price history: 441 daily market-price observations, Jul 18, 2025 to Oct 1, 2026. 12-month recorded market-price range: $4.57 – $9.58. Performance versus the market: Over the last 2 months this card fell 12.1%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it has fallen behind the market by 16.0%. TCGplayer lowest listed ask: $6.24 as of Oct 1, 2026, across conditions, before shipping. TCGplayer listed median: $9.00 as of Oct 1, 2026. Pokespective interest score: 51 out of 100 (Ordinary); It ranks above 52% of the cards we track. 60-day price forecast: An estimated 61% chance of beating the typical tracked card over 60 days; in a typical outcome it would end about 3.5% ahead. Four times in five the price lands between $7.26 and $10.60. 60-day forecast: Likely range: $7.26 – $10.60; 8 in 10 outcomes. 60-day forecast: Middle half: $7.85 – $9.32; half of outcomes land here. 60-day forecast: Typical outcome: $8.47; +3.5% versus the market. 60-day forecast: Confidence: 66 / 100; a narrow range, not a better outcome.
Beating the market, or just riding it?
Falling behind the market
Over the last 2 months this card fell 12.1%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it has fallen behind the market by 16.0%.
Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.
Is this card interesting right now?
Ordinary - 51 out of 100
It ranks above 52% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.
Why is it interesting?
Sliding for 2 months and sellers holding firm
It has fallen behind the market over the past two months. Median asking prices sit above the recent-sales market reference - sellers are holding firm on price. This has been the strongest historical price signal in this market.
Is it becoming more popular?
Mixed
Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.
Past month+1.5%
Past 2 months-16.0%
Past 4 months-3.8%
Is it expensive or cheap?
$7.87 - expensive for its set
At $7.87 it is expensive for its set - number 111 of 415 by price. It costs more than 37% of other Illustration Rare cards we track. It is 18% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.
What makes this card unusual?
Illustration Rare - a scarcer rarity
517 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of all cards we track). This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.
Could you actually buy or sell it?
Easily - it trades often
The price changed in 92% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.
How does the grading fee compare?
Fee exceeds raw price
A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 280% of the $7.87 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $29.87, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.
TCGplayer market price on the last day we have for each month; the current month so far.