Price history, listings and card analysis
Mega Greninja ex 122/086 Chaos Rising (Holofoil). TCGplayer market price: $144.20 as of Oct 1, 2026. Recorded price history: 139 daily market-price observations, May 16, 2026 to Oct 1, 2026. 12-month recorded market-price range: $144.20 – $480.00. Performance versus the market: Over the last 2 months this card fell 25.3%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it has fallen behind the market by 28.6%. TCGplayer lowest listed ask: $129.68 as of Oct 1, 2026, across conditions, before shipping. TCGplayer listed median: $162.41 as of Oct 1, 2026. Pokespective interest score: 4 out of 100 (Quiet); It ranks above 4% of the cards we track. 60-day price forecast: An estimated 20% chance of beating the typical tracked card over 60 days; in a typical outcome it would end about 8.7% behind. Four times in five the price lands between $119.74 and $166.80. 60-day forecast: Likely range: $119.74 – $166.80; 8 in 10 outcomes. 60-day forecast: Middle half: $128.01 – $148.37; half of outcomes land here. 60-day forecast: Typical outcome: $137; -8.7% versus the market. 60-day forecast: Confidence: 64 / 100; a narrow range, not a better outcome.
Beating the market, or just riding it?
Falling behind the market
Over the last 2 months this card fell 25.3%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it has fallen behind the market by 28.6%.
Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.
Is this card interesting right now?
Quiet - 4 out of 100
It ranks above 4% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.
Why is it interesting?
Sudden drop and slipping this month
The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.
Is it becoming more popular?
No - losing ground
Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.
Past month-17.3%
Past 2 months-28.6%
Past 4 months-61.7%
Is it expensive or cheap?
$144.20 - expensive for its set
At $144.20 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 1 of 198 by price. It costs more than 38% of other Mega Hyper Rare cards we track. It is 70% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.
What makes this card unusual?
Mega Hyper Rare - genuinely scarce, the most valuable card in its set
Only 8 of the cards we track are Mega Hyper Rare - under 0.1% of them. It is the single most expensive card of the 198 we track in this set. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.
Could you actually buy or sell it?
Easily - it trades often
The price changed in 94% of our checks over the past year across 138 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.
How does the grading fee compare?
Material fee versus raw price
A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 15% of the $144.20 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $166.20, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.
TCGplayer market price on the last day we have for each month; the current month so far.
