Pokespective
Arceus AR9 Arceus Pokémon card

Holo Rare

Arceus AR9 · Arceus

$45.42

TCGplayer market price · updated Oct 1, 2026

Rarely trades
Listed median $42.926% below market

TCGplayer listings · Snapshot Oct 1, 2026

The middle of TCGplayer's reported asking prices for this printing. Less sensitive to one extreme high ask than min/max; still sensitive to a thin market and the mix of conditions.

Lowest reported ask
$28.42

Across conditions, before shipping; not a verified offer.

TCGplayer Direct Low
$57.97

The Direct programme's lowest reported ask, before shipping.

USD · across conditions · before shipping. Asking prices are not completed sales; listing and seller counts are not supplied.

Asking prices over the past 90 days
Listed median / Market price$40.00$50.00$60.00$70.00Jul 4, 2026 · Market price $37.47Jul 5, 2026 · Market price $37.47Jul 6, 2026 · Market price $37.47Jul 7, 2026 · Market price $37.47Jul 8, 2026 · Market price $37.47Jul 9, 2026 · Market price $37.47Jul 10, 2026 · Market price $37.47Jul 11, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 12, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 13, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 14, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 15, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 16, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 17, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 18, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 19, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 20, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 21, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 22, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 23, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 24, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 25, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 26, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 27, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 28, 2026 · Market price $38.36Jul 29, 2026 · Market price $38.87Jul 30, 2026 · Market price $38.87Jul 31, 2026 · Market price $38.87Aug 1, 2026 · Market price $38.87Aug 2, 2026 · Market price $38.87Aug 3, 2026 · Market price $38.87Aug 4, 2026 · Market price $38.87Aug 5, 2026 · Market price $38.87Aug 6, 2026 · Market price $38.87Aug 7, 2026 · Market price $39.25Aug 8, 2026 · Market price $39.25Aug 9, 2026 · Market price $39.25Aug 10, 2026 · Market price $39.68Aug 11, 2026 · Market price $39.68Aug 12, 2026 · Market price $39.68Aug 13, 2026 · Market price $39.68Aug 14, 2026 · Market price $39.68Aug 15, 2026 · Market price $40.33Aug 16, 2026 · Market price $40.14Aug 17, 2026 · Market price $40.14Aug 18, 2026 · Market price $40.14Aug 19, 2026 · Market price $40.25Aug 20, 2026 · Market price $40.25Aug 21, 2026 · Market price $40.25Aug 22, 2026 · Market price $40.25Aug 23, 2026 · Market price $40.25Aug 24, 2026 · Market price $40.25Aug 25, 2026 · Market price $40.18Aug 26, 2026 · Market price $40.18Aug 27, 2026 · Market price $40.18Aug 28, 2026 · Market price $40.60Aug 29, 2026 · Market price $40.60Aug 30, 2026 · Market price $40.60Aug 31, 2026 · Market price $40.96Sep 1, 2026 · Market price $41.89Sep 2, 2026 · Market price $41.89Sep 3, 2026 · Market price $41.89Sep 4, 2026 · Market price $41.89Sep 5, 2026 · Market price $41.89Sep 6, 2026 · Market price $41.89Sep 7, 2026 · Market price $41.89Sep 8, 2026 · Market price $42.28Sep 9, 2026 · Market price $42.99Sep 10, 2026 · Market price $44.27Sep 11, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 12, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 13, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 14, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 15, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 16, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 17, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 18, 2026 · Market price $44.80Sep 19, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 20, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 21, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 22, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 23, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 24, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 25, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 26, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 27, 2026 · Market price $45.24Sep 28, 2026 · Market price $45.42Sep 29, 2026 · Market price $45.42Sep 30, 2026 · Market price $45.42Oct 1, 2026 · Market price $45.42Jul 4, 2026 · Listed median $63.27Jul 5, 2026 · Listed median $64.90Jul 6, 2026 · Listed median $64.90Jul 7, 2026 · Listed median $64.90Jul 8, 2026 · Listed median $57.00Jul 9, 2026 · Listed median $60.95Jul 10, 2026 · Listed median $63.27Jul 11, 2026 · Listed median $67.46Jul 12, 2026 · Listed median $65.12Jul 13, 2026 · Listed median $68.32Jul 14, 2026 · Listed median $64.90Jul 15, 2026 · Listed median $68.40Jul 16, 2026 · Listed median $52.56Jul 17, 2026 · Listed median $61.90Jul 18, 2026 · Listed median $61.24Jul 19, 2026 · Listed median $61.90Jul 20, 2026 · Listed median $61.90Jul 21, 2026 · Listed median $47.30Jul 22, 2026 · Listed median $49.86Jul 23, 2026 · Listed median $49.86Jul 24, 2026 · Listed median $46.03Jul 25, 2026 · Listed median $53.82Jul 26, 2026 · Listed median $55.80Jul 27, 2026 · Listed median $55.80Jul 28, 2026 · Listed median $57.37Jul 29, 2026 · Listed median $56.25Jul 30, 2026 · Listed median $52.95Jul 31, 2026 · Listed median $52.95Aug 1, 2026 · Listed median $50.14Aug 2, 2026 · Listed median $47.90Aug 3, 2026 · Listed median $46.60Aug 4, 2026 · Listed median $47.90Aug 5, 2026 · Listed median $47.90Aug 6, 2026 · Listed median $47.90Aug 7, 2026 · Listed median $40.41Aug 8, 2026 · Listed median $39.44Aug 9, 2026 · Listed median $39.06Aug 10, 2026 · Listed median $38.87Aug 11, 2026 · Listed median $39.68Aug 12, 2026 · Listed median $39.28Aug 13, 2026 · Listed median $39.68Aug 14, 2026 · Listed median $39.68Aug 15, 2026 · Listed median $39.84Aug 16, 2026 · Listed median $40.14Aug 17, 2026 · Listed median $40.14Aug 18, 2026 · Listed median $41.15Aug 19, 2026 · Listed median $40.25Aug 20, 2026 · Listed median $40.00Aug 21, 2026 · Listed median $40.00Aug 22, 2026 · Listed median $40.00Aug 23, 2026 · Listed median $40.25Aug 24, 2026 · Listed median $40.25Aug 25, 2026 · Listed median $40.98Aug 26, 2026 · Listed median $40.49Aug 27, 2026 · Listed median $40.49Aug 28, 2026 · Listed median $40.00Aug 29, 2026 · Listed median $36.27Aug 30, 2026 · Listed median $37.36Aug 31, 2026 · Listed median $36.27Sep 1, 2026 · Listed median $35.58Sep 2, 2026 · Listed median $35.58Sep 3, 2026 · Listed median $35.58Sep 4, 2026 · Listed median $36.26Sep 5, 2026 · Listed median $37.70Sep 6, 2026 · Listed median $37.70Sep 7, 2026 · Listed median $37.70Sep 8, 2026 · Listed median $37.73Sep 9, 2026 · Listed median $38.87Sep 10, 2026 · Listed median $38.87Sep 11, 2026 · Listed median $39.92Sep 12, 2026 · Listed median $39.92Sep 13, 2026 · Listed median $39.92Sep 14, 2026 · Listed median $39.92Sep 15, 2026 · Listed median $41.06Sep 16, 2026 · Listed median $41.06Sep 17, 2026 · Listed median $40.00Sep 18, 2026 · Listed median $41.22Sep 19, 2026 · Listed median $40.32Sep 20, 2026 · Listed median $41.22Sep 21, 2026 · Listed median $40.16Sep 22, 2026 · Listed median $40.36Sep 23, 2026 · Listed median $41.91Sep 24, 2026 · Listed median $40.80Sep 25, 2026 · Listed median $43.02Sep 26, 2026 · Listed median $44.72Sep 27, 2026 · Listed median $42.76Sep 28, 2026 · Listed median $40.90Sep 29, 2026 · Listed median $42.92Sep 30, 2026 · Listed median $42.92Oct 1, 2026 · Listed median $42.92Jul 4, 2026Oct 1, 2026
Listed medianMarket price

Daily summaries, not individual listings. Gaps mark missing or rejected readings; lines also break when checks are more than three days apart.

Recent snapshots
DateListed medianMarket price
Oct 1, 2026$42.92$45.42
Sep 30, 2026$42.92$45.42
Sep 29, 2026$42.92$45.42
Sep 28, 2026$40.90$45.42
Sep 27, 2026$42.76$45.24
Sep 26, 2026$44.72$45.24
Sep 25, 2026$43.02$45.24
View listings on eBayLive listings for this card, raw and graded copies.

Buying through this link supports Pokespective with a small commission. It never costs you more, and it never changes our numbers.

Before you buy

Near its 12-month high

It rarely trades, and is among the priciest in its set.

Price

Near its 12-month high

$19.7212-month range$45.42

At or near its highest price of the past year.

Versus the market

Not enough trading to say

It trades too rarely, or has too little recent price history, for a 2-month comparison with the market to mean anything.

The next 60 days

Slightly ahead of the market

62%chance to beat the market

In a typical outcome it ends about 2.4% ahead of the market. See the forecast ↓

Buying and selling

Rarely trades

17% of our price checks saw it move

The price shown may be stale; expect to wait.

Scarcity

Among the priciest in its set

#20of 204 in its set by price

Holo Rare, widely printed: 3,435 of the cards we track (8%).

Grading

Material fee versus raw price

48% the grading fee, as a share of its price

A roughly $22 fee against $45.42 raw. Profitability depends on condition and graded sale prices; we track neither.

Compare this card's TCGplayer market price, listing prices, historical range and model outlook before you buy. Research for collectors; not personal investment advice.

The next 60 days: price forecast

62%

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 62% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days; in a typical outcome it would end about 2.4% ahead.

Next 60 days$20.00$30.00$40.00$50.00 Nov 2025FebMayAug
Next 60 days$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00$50.00$60.00 May 2024NovMayNovMay
Likely range$43.99 – $55.798 in 10 outcomes
Middle half$46.13 – $51.29half of outcomes land here
Typical outcome$48.33+2.4% versus the market
Confidence84 / 100a narrow range, not a better outcome
How to read this forecast

The fan shows where the forecast puts the price in 60 days; the lines from today to then are drawn, not forecast day by day.

Assumes the whole market keeps rising about 3.9% every 60 days, as it has lately. That part is a guess from the recent past, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales, so it trails a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that delay catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Card analysis: Why it scores where it does

78

Above average

78 out of 100. It ranks above 78% of the cards we track.

Seller confidenceSellers undercutting
Unusual moveFirmer recent move than most
1-month trendClimbing this month
2-month trendClimbing for 2 months
Price steadinessVery steady price

Each ingredient is weighted by how well it has preceded price moves in this market's own history. The exact weights and readings are in The full read.

The full read

Every question we ask of a card, and every number behind the answers.
Next 60 days: 62% chance to beat the marketSet: vintage

Price history, listings and card analysis

Arceus AR9 Arceus (Holofoil). TCGplayer market price: $45.42 as of Oct 1, 2026. Recorded price history: 967 daily market-price observations, Feb 8, 2024 to Oct 1, 2026. 12-month recorded market-price range: $19.72 – $45.42. TCGplayer lowest listed ask: $28.42 as of Oct 1, 2026, across conditions, before shipping. TCGplayer listed median: $42.92 as of Oct 1, 2026. Pokespective interest score: 78 out of 100 (Above average); It ranks above 78% of the cards we track. 60-day price forecast: An estimated 62% chance of beating the typical tracked card over 60 days; in a typical outcome it would end about 2.4% ahead. Four times in five the price lands between $43.99 and $55.79. This card's pricing is flagged, so treat the forecast as unusable rather than merely uncertain. 60-day forecast: Likely range: $43.99 – $55.79; 8 in 10 outcomes. 60-day forecast: Middle half: $46.13 – $51.29; half of outcomes land here. 60-day forecast: Typical outcome: $48.33; +2.4% versus the market. 60-day forecast: Confidence: 84 / 100; a narrow range, not a better outcome.

Beating the market, or just riding it?

Not enough trading to say

It trades too rarely, or has too little recent price history, for a 2-month comparison with the market to mean anything.

Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 78 out of 100

It ranks above 78% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and firmer recent move than most

Median asking prices sit below the recent-sales market reference - sellers are pricing more aggressively. The recent move is within this card's normal range, but stronger than most cards' moves this month.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+7.4%
Past 2 months+11.7%
Past 4 months+5.1%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$45.42 - expensive for its set

At $45.42 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 20 of 204 by price. It costs more than 75% of other Holo Rare cards we track. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Holo Rare from a 17-year-old set

Holo Rare is a widely printed rarity - 3,435 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 17 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 17% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

How does the grading fee compare?

Material fee versus raw price

A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 48% of the $45.42 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $67.42, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.

The score's ingredients

IngredientWeightEffect on the scoreTrack record
Seller confidence30%-0.278Strong record
Unusual move16%+0.204Strong record
1-month trend16%+0.137Strong record
2-month trend14%+0.112Consistent record
Price steadiness10%+0.078Weak record
Near its high5%+0.043Consistent record
Listing tightness6%+0.017No measured edge
4-month trend3%+0.009Consistent record

Price by month

TCGplayer market price on the last day we have for each month; the current month so far.

MonthPriceChange
Oct 2026$45.42+0.0%
Sep 2026$45.42+10.9%
Aug 2026$40.96+5.4%
Jul 2026$38.87+3.7%
Jun 2026$37.47+1.8%
May 2026$36.81-3.4%
Apr 2026$38.11+7.7%
Mar 2026$35.37+14.6%
Feb 2026$30.86+8.5%
Jan 2026$28.44+5.0%
Dec 2025$27.09+0.0%
Nov 2025$27.09+27.7%

Every number behind this page

Market price$45.42What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$28.42The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$42.92The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-5.5%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+7.4%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+11.7%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+5.1%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+0.6%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+1.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0106Calm and steady
How often it trades17%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed61How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age16.9 yearsVintage
Interest score78 / 100Ranks above 78% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID83,600For looking it up elsewhere