What the market is doing
Sellers are holding firm
Median asking prices sit well above the recent-sales market reference — firm seller pricing, historically our strongest price signal.
3,975 cards answer this today
Why ask this
This is the strongest, most durable effect measured here at either horizon. TCGplayer's market price comes from completed sales; the median ask records sellers' current pricing. A premium over that reference shows seller-side pricing resistance.
How to read the figure
The figure is the gap between the median asking price and the recent-sales market reference. Bigger means a larger asking-price premium, up to the point where unusual asks distort the reading.
Shown on every row: Seller confidence
How well it has measured
Seller confidence: Strong and consistent. Across 38 test dates, each scored using only what was knowable that day, cards it ranked in the top tenth beat its bottom tenth by about 20% over the next 60 days on average (rank correlation +0.236). The windows overlap, so that is closer to 13 independent readings than 38, all from one rising market.
Where it can be wrong
The reliability check keeps unusual asking-price patterns out of this list. Extreme gaps can reflect thin or distorted pricing rather than dependable seller resistance.