Pooled card result: +2%
Does the timing change the result?
Earlier starts+1%→Later starts+2%
Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.Giving each set equal weight: +54%
The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.The three most represented sets supply 43% of card observations.
Past results from reliably priced, raw cards at TCGplayer market prices, not a forecast. One-year windows began Jun 2024–Sep 2025 in a rising market. Weekly windows overlap and repeat cards: these are not independent trials. We compare each card’s return with the typical tracked card over the same year. A set can appear in several age bands; chapters are spaced for readability. Each main percentage describes pooled card observations; each tile describes one set’s typical card result, not a sealed-box return. Age and release era cannot be separated in this short history. Detailed bands need at least 10 sets, 100 distinct cards and 26 start dates to receive a headline figure. When equal-set weighting changes the result by more than 20 percentage points, the headline is qualitative. These editorial display rules do not establish statistical significance.
Individual sets in this age band
- Base Set (Shadowless)−19%25 cards · 69 starts
- Base Set−15%48 cards · 69 starts
- Base Set 2−14%37 cards · 69 starts
- Legendary Collection−9%2 cards · 28 starts
- Jungle−6%52 cards · 69 starts
- Fossil−4%47 cards · 69 starts
- Gym Heroes+1%57 cards · 69 starts
- Neo Genesis+2%29 cards · 69 starts
- Team Rocket+6%57 cards · 69 starts
- Gym Challenge+9%62 cards · 69 starts
- Arceus+21%1 cards · 21 starts
- Stormfront+24%2 cards · 6 starts
- Neo Discovery+24%5 cards · 69 starts
- EX Sandstorm+33%5 cards · 38 starts
- WoTC Promo+41%43 cards · 69 starts
- Neo Destiny+42%14 cards · 55 starts
- Diamond and Pearl+49%1 cards · 14 starts
- EX Dragon+49%2 cards · 6 starts
- EX Hidden Legends+52%3 cards · 32 starts
- EX Holon Phantoms+57%3 cards · 34 starts
- EX Delta Species+57%3 cards · 27 starts
- EX Unseen Forces+63%1 cards · 23 starts
- EX Dragon Frontiers+64%1 cards · 20 starts
- EX Crystal Guardians+70%4 cards · 35 starts
- Supreme Victors+77%1 cards · 1 starts
- Rising Rivals+81%5 cards · 27 starts
- Expedition+87%11 cards · 69 starts
- Aquapolis+90%10 cards · 29 starts
- EX FireRed & LeafGreen+95%3 cards · 18 starts
- EX Emerald+103%1 cards · 9 starts
- EX Team Rocket Returns+103%2 cards · 24 starts
- HeartGold SoulSilver+133%1 cards · 13 starts
- Mysterious Treasures+134%2 cards · 27 starts
- Neo Revelation+235%5 cards · 29 starts
- HGSS Promos+246%1 cards · 35 starts
- Undaunted+323%1 cards · 5 starts
- EX Team Magma vs Team Aqua+350%2 cards · 6 starts
- EX Legend Maker+454%1 cards · 14 starts