Price history, listings and card analysis
Gyarados My First Battle (Normal). TCGplayer market price: $7.73 as of Oct 1, 2026. Recorded price history: 951 daily market-price observations, Feb 8, 2024 to Oct 1, 2026. 12-month recorded market-price range: $5.90 – $7.73. Performance versus the market: Over the last 2 months this card rose 3.3%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it finished 1.2% behind the market, inside the 10% either way we count as moving with it. Its price has mostly been riding the market. TCGplayer lowest listed ask: $6.99 as of Oct 1, 2026, across conditions, before shipping. TCGplayer listed median: $9.36 as of Oct 1, 2026. Pokespective interest score: 84 out of 100 (Notable); It ranks above 84% of the cards we track. 60-day price forecast: An estimated 68% chance of beating the typical tracked card over 60 days; in a typical outcome it would end about 4.5% ahead. Four times in five the price lands between $7.49 and $9.96. 60-day forecast: Likely range: $7.49 – $9.96; 8 in 10 outcomes. 60-day forecast: Middle half: $7.93 – $9.01; half of outcomes land here. 60-day forecast: Typical outcome: $8.40; +4.5% versus the market. 60-day forecast: Confidence: 81 / 100; a narrow range, not a better outcome.
Beating the market, or just riding it?
Moving with the market
Over the last 2 months this card rose 3.3%, while the typical card we track rose 4.6%: it finished 1.2% behind the market, inside the 10% either way we count as moving with it. Its price has mostly been riding the market.
Describes the last 2 months, not what happens next. Not investment advice.
Is this card interesting right now?
Notable - 84 out of 100
It ranks above 84% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. Its weights were tuned on how cards moved over the following 60 days, so a high score is a tendency across many cards, not a forecast for this one - and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.
Why is it interesting?
Very steady price and sellers holding firm
The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around. Median asking prices sit above the recent-sales market reference - sellers are holding firm on price. This has been the strongest historical price signal in this market. Working against it: it edged ahead of the market over two months, but by less than most cards did.
Is it becoming more popular?
Mixed
Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.
Past month+1.0%
Past 2 months-1.2%
Past 4 months-4.7%
Is it expensive or cheap?
$7.73 - expensive for its set
At $7.73 it is expensive for its set - number 10 of 48 by price. It costs more than 86% of other Unconfirmed cards we track. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.
What makes this card unusual?
Unconfirmed - genuinely scarce
Only 66 of the cards we track are Unconfirmed - under 0.2% of them.
Could you actually buy or sell it?
Yes, with patience
The price changed in 27% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.
How does the grading fee compare?
Fee exceeds raw price
A roughly $22.00 grading fee is 285% of the $7.73 raw price. Raw price plus fee comes to about $29.73, before shipping, insurance or selling costs. That is a cost comparison, not an estimate of a graded copy's value. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data. We cannot assess this copy's condition or tell you what a PSA 10 is worth. Check condition and comparable graded sales before deciding whether grading would pay off.
TCGplayer market price on the last day we have for each month; the current month so far.
