My First Battle price list

48 cards · released Sep 29, 2023 · most valuable: Pikachu (Blue Border) ($29.58)

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Where this set is in its life

The age archive

Older isn’t always stronger.

In this sample, cards did better at 7–15 years. Beyond 15, uneven coverage complicates the picture.

This set todaySettled3 years old

01 / 070–4 months

Just released

Typical card · next 12 months

−48%

behind the market

Most sets fell behind.

Over the following year, cards from sets under 4 months old did worse than the market in 10 of 12 sets; the typical card ended 48% behind it.

803 cards · 12 sets

Every tile is one historical set

10 behind2 ahead

Select a tile to inspect its result

Inside the research · sample, dates & limits

Does the timing change the result?

Earlier starts−38%Later starts−52%

Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.

Giving each set equal weight: −36%

The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.

Not every set follows it: Black Bolt and White Flare did better at this age. Past results from reliably priced, raw cards at TCGplayer market prices, not a forecast. One-year windows began Jun 2024–Sep 2025 in a rising market. Weekly windows overlap and repeat cards: these are not independent trials. We compare each card’s return with the typical tracked card over the same year. A set can appear in several age bands; chapters are spaced for readability. Each main percentage describes pooled card observations; each tile describes one set’s typical card result, not a sealed-box return. Age and release era cannot be separated in this short history. Detailed bands need at least 10 sets, 100 distinct cards and 26 start dates to receive a headline figure. When equal-set weighting changes the result by more than 20 percentage points, the headline is qualitative. These editorial display rules do not establish statistical significance.

Individual sets in this age band

Prismatic Evolutions−69%146 cards · 14 starts
Battle Academy 2024−61%3 cards · 8 starts
Surging Sparks−61%65 cards · 15 starts
Destined Rivals−55%65 cards · 14 starts
Journey Together−51%32 cards · 15 starts
Stellar Crown−42%34 cards · 15 starts
Twilight Masquerade−31%55 cards · 15 starts
Temporal Forces−28%54 cards · 7 starts
McDonald's Promos 2024−16%3 cards · 13 starts
Shrouded Fable−8%35 cards · 14 starts
White Flare+9%157 cards · 6 starts
Black Bolt+10%154 cards · 6 starts

02 / 074–18 months

Boxes being opened

Typical card · next 12 months

−26%

behind the market

Most sets fell behind.

Over the following year, cards from sets 4 to 18 months old did worse than the market in 19 of 21 sets; the typical card ended 26% behind it.

1037 cards · 21 sets

Every tile is one historical set

19 behind2 ahead

Select a tile to inspect its result

Inside the research · sample, dates & limits

Does the timing change the result?

Earlier starts−22%Later starts−30%

Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.

Giving each set equal weight: −22%

The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.

Not every set follows it: McDonald's Promos 2024 and Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards did better at this age. Past results from reliably priced, raw cards at TCGplayer market prices, not a forecast. One-year windows began Jun 2024–Sep 2025 in a rising market. Weekly windows overlap and repeat cards: these are not independent trials. We compare each card’s return with the typical tracked card over the same year. A set can appear in several age bands; chapters are spaced for readability. Each main percentage describes pooled card observations; each tile describes one set’s typical card result, not a sealed-box return. Age and release era cannot be separated in this short history. Detailed bands need at least 10 sets, 100 distinct cards and 26 start dates to receive a headline figure. When equal-set weighting changes the result by more than 20 percentage points, the headline is qualitative. These editorial display rules do not establish statistical significance.

Individual sets in this age band

Journey Together−49%30 cards · 9 starts
Prismatic Evolutions−43%122 cards · 19 starts
Surging Sparks−39%63 cards · 29 starts
Scarlet & Violet 151−36%80 cards · 41 starts
Paradox Rift−34%89 cards · 47 starts
Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024−34%1 cards · 6 starts
Stellar Crown−28%40 cards · 37 starts
Twilight Masquerade−27%63 cards · 53 starts
Paldean Fates−26%142 cards · 59 starts
Battle Academy 2024−25%3 cards · 49 starts
Temporal Forces−22%62 cards · 60 starts
Crown Zenith−20%16 cards · 6 starts
Shrouded Fable−16%36 cards · 43 starts
Obsidian Flames−12%27 cards · 35 starts
McDonald's Promos 2023−12%1 cards · 39 starts
Paldea Evolved−6%80 cards · 26 starts
Trading Card Game Classic−6%24 cards · 49 starts
Crown Zenith: Galarian Gallery−4%46 cards · 6 starts
Scarlet & Violet Base Set−2%54 cards · 16 starts
Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards+19%56 cards · 16 starts
McDonald's Promos 2024+42%2 cards · 19 starts

03 / 071½–3 years

Supply drying up

Typical card · next 12 months

−11%

behind the market

Most sets fell behind.

Over the following year, cards from sets 1½ to 3 years old did worse than the market in 20 of 30 sets; the typical card ended 11% behind it.

1459 cards · 30 sets

Every tile is one historical set

20 behind10 ahead

Select a tile to inspect its result

Inside the research · sample, dates & limits

Does the timing change the result?

Earlier starts−13%Later starts−10%

Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.

Giving each set equal weight: −7%

The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.

Not every set follows it: Celebrations: Classic Collection and McDonald's Promos 2023 did better at this age. Past results from reliably priced, raw cards at TCGplayer market prices, not a forecast. One-year windows began Jun 2024–Sep 2025 in a rising market. Weekly windows overlap and repeat cards: these are not independent trials. We compare each card’s return with the typical tracked card over the same year. A set can appear in several age bands; chapters are spaced for readability. Each main percentage describes pooled card observations; each tile describes one set’s typical card result, not a sealed-box return. Age and release era cannot be separated in this short history. Detailed bands need at least 10 sets, 100 distinct cards and 26 start dates to receive a headline figure. When equal-set weighting changes the result by more than 20 percentage points, the headline is qualitative. These editorial display rules do not establish statistical significance.

Individual sets in this age band

Battle Academy 2022−39%2 cards · 12 starts
Scarlet & Violet Energies−39%7 cards · 40 starts
Prize Pack Series Cards−32%163 cards · 69 starts
Lost Origin−30%44 cards · 66 starts
Astral Radiance−29%59 cards · 51 starts
Chilling Reign−23%70 cards · 2 starts
Brilliant Stars−22%38 cards · 38 starts
Silver Tempest−22%45 cards · 69 starts
Paradox Rift−16%85 cards · 22 starts
Pokemon GO−16%27 cards · 56 starts
Scarlet & Violet Base Set−14%58 cards · 53 starts
Fusion Strike−12%31 cards · 23 starts
Evolving Skies−12%79 cards · 12 starts
Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards−10%153 cards · 53 starts
Paldea Evolved−9%80 cards · 43 starts
Paldean Fates−6%128 cards · 10 starts
Obsidian Flames−5%30 cards · 34 starts
Crown Zenith−2%22 cards · 63 starts
Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery−2%26 cards · 51 starts
Temporal Forces−1%54 cards · 2 starts
Scarlet & Violet 151+8%78 cards · 28 starts
Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery+12%26 cards · 69 starts
Lost Origin Trainer Gallery+19%24 cards · 66 starts
Crown Zenith: Galarian Gallery+23%67 cards · 63 starts
Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery+23%21 cards · 38 starts
Celebrations+28%1 cards · 18 starts
Trading Card Game Classic+57%23 cards · 20 starts
My First Battle+63%2 cards · 16 starts
McDonald's Promos 2023+73%2 cards · 30 starts
Celebrations: Classic Collection+87%14 cards · 18 starts

04 / 073–7 years

Settled

Typical card · next 12 months

−8%

behind the market

The sets went both ways.

Over the following year, cards from sets 3 to 7 years old ended about 8% behind the market, with 20 of 40 sets doing worse and the rest better.

1384 cards · 40 sets

Every tile is one historical set

20 behind20 ahead

Select a tile to inspect its result

Inside the research · sample, dates & limits

Does the timing change the result?

Earlier starts−3%Later starts−11%

Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.

Giving each set equal weight: ≈0%

The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.

Past results from reliably priced, raw cards at TCGplayer market prices, not a forecast. One-year windows began Jun 2024–Sep 2025 in a rising market. Weekly windows overlap and repeat cards: these are not independent trials. We compare each card’s return with the typical tracked card over the same year. A set can appear in several age bands; chapters are spaced for readability. Each main percentage describes pooled card observations; each tile describes one set’s typical card result, not a sealed-box return. Age and release era cannot be separated in this short history. Detailed bands need at least 10 sets, 100 distinct cards and 26 start dates to receive a headline figure. When equal-set weighting changes the result by more than 20 percentage points, the headline is qualitative. These editorial display rules do not establish statistical significance.

Individual sets in this age band

Chilling Reign−25%75 cards · 67 starts
Champion's Path−24%13 cards · 69 starts
Battle Styles−24%44 cards · 69 starts
Astral Radiance−24%56 cards · 18 starts
Lost Origin−23%35 cards · 3 starts
Rebel Clash−23%44 cards · 69 starts
Fusion Strike−22%38 cards · 46 starts
Vivid Voltage−21%42 cards · 69 starts
Brilliant Stars−19%39 cards · 31 starts
Darkness Ablaze−19%29 cards · 69 starts
Evolving Skies−13%89 cards · 57 starts
Sword & Shield Base Set−13%34 cards · 69 starts
Pokemon GO−10%27 cards · 13 starts
Lost Origin Trainer Gallery−7%23 cards · 3 starts
Shining Fates: Shiny Vault−6%67 cards · 69 starts
Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery−5%26 cards · 31 starts
Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery−4%26 cards · 18 starts
Shining Fates−3%12 cards · 69 starts
SM - Crimson Invasion−2%22 cards · 21 starts
SM - Burning Shadows≈0%17 cards · 8 starts
Dragon Majesty+1%14 cards · 65 starts
McDonald's 25th Anniversary Promos+3%9 cards · 69 starts
Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault+4%88 cards · 69 starts
SM - Forbidden Light+4%15 cards · 47 starts
Detective Pikachu+6%6 cards · 69 starts
SM - Lost Thunder+7%32 cards · 69 starts
SM - Cosmic Eclipse+8%72 cards · 69 starts
SM - Team Up+8%39 cards · 69 starts
Shining Legends+11%16 cards · 17 starts
Battle Academy+13%3 cards · 69 starts
Sword & Shield Promo Cards+15%166 cards · 69 starts
SM - Unified Minds+16%50 cards · 69 starts
SM - Ultra Prism+17%13 cards · 34 starts
SM - Unbroken Bonds+17%51 cards · 69 starts
Hidden Fates+23%11 cards · 69 starts
Celebrations: Classic Collection+24%18 cards · 51 starts
Celebrations+24%7 cards · 51 starts
SM - Celestial Storm+26%13 cards · 60 starts
Battle Academy 2022+31%2 cards · 25 starts
McDonald's Promos 2022+45%1 cards · 7 starts

05 / 077–10 years

Early vintage

Typical card · next 12 months

+11%

ahead of the market

Most sets came out ahead.

Over the following year, cards from sets 7 to 10 years old did better than the market in 20 of 27 sets; the typical card ended 11% ahead of it.

620 cards · 27 sets

Every tile is one historical set

7 behind20 ahead

Select a tile to inspect its result

Inside the research · sample, dates & limits

Does the timing change the result?

Earlier starts+40%Later starts≈0%

Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.

Giving each set equal weight: +12%

The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.

Not every set follows it: League & Championship Cards and SM Base Set did worse at this age. Past results from reliably priced, raw cards at TCGplayer market prices, not a forecast. One-year windows began Jun 2024–Sep 2025 in a rising market. Weekly windows overlap and repeat cards: these are not independent trials. We compare each card’s return with the typical tracked card over the same year. A set can appear in several age bands; chapters are spaced for readability. Each main percentage describes pooled card observations; each tile describes one set’s typical card result, not a sealed-box return. Age and release era cannot be separated in this short history. Detailed bands need at least 10 sets, 100 distinct cards and 26 start dates to receive a headline figure. When equal-set weighting changes the result by more than 20 percentage points, the headline is qualitative. These editorial display rules do not establish statistical significance.

Individual sets in this age band

League & Championship Cards−26%19 cards · 69 starts
SM Base Set−14%35 cards · 69 starts
SM - Forbidden Light−9%19 cards · 22 starts
SM - Guardians Rising−6%28 cards · 69 starts
SM - Burning Shadows−4%28 cards · 61 starts
Dragon Majesty−4%11 cards · 4 starts
SM - Crimson Invasion−2%29 cards · 48 starts
XY - BREAKthrough+2%32 cards · 69 starts
SM - Celestial Storm+5%14 cards · 9 starts
XY - Steam Siege+5%23 cards · 69 starts
XY - Evolutions+5%49 cards · 69 starts
SM - Ultra Prism+6%20 cards · 35 starts
Shining Legends+8%16 cards · 52 starts
XY - Roaring Skies+12%20 cards · 48 starts
XY - BREAKpoint+16%28 cards · 69 starts
Deck Exclusives+19%16 cards · 69 starts
Generations+20%16 cards · 69 starts
XY - Ancient Origins+21%17 cards · 62 starts
XY - Fates Collide+21%30 cards · 69 starts
Jumbo Cards+21%13 cards · 43 starts
XY - Primal Clash+22%10 cards · 35 starts
XY Trainer Kit: Pikachu Libre & Suicune+31%1 cards · 1 starts
Generations: Radiant Collection+33%29 cards · 69 starts
XY - Phantom Forces+36%6 cards · 22 starts
SM Promos+51%106 cards · 69 starts
XY - Furious Fists+75%2 cards · 10 starts
Double Crisis+106%3 cards · 42 starts

06 / 0710–15 years

Established vintage

Typical card · next 12 months

+21%

ahead of the market

Most sets came out ahead.

Over the following year, cards from sets 10 to 15 years old did better than the market in 17 of 25 sets; the typical card ended 21% ahead of it.

235 cards · 25 sets

Every tile is one historical set

8 behind17 ahead

Select a tile to inspect its result

Inside the research · sample, dates & limits

Does the timing change the result?

Earlier starts+88%Later starts+5%

Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.

Giving each set equal weight: +6%

The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.

Not every set follows it: Dark Explorers and XY - Phantom Forces did worse at this age. Past results from reliably priced, raw cards at TCGplayer market prices, not a forecast. One-year windows began Jun 2024–Sep 2025 in a rising market. Weekly windows overlap and repeat cards: these are not independent trials. We compare each card’s return with the typical tracked card over the same year. A set can appear in several age bands; chapters are spaced for readability. Each main percentage describes pooled card observations; each tile describes one set’s typical card result, not a sealed-box return. Age and release era cannot be separated in this short history. Detailed bands need at least 10 sets, 100 distinct cards and 26 start dates to receive a headline figure. When equal-set weighting changes the result by more than 20 percentage points, the headline is qualitative. These editorial display rules do not establish statistical significance.

Individual sets in this age band

Dark Explorers−41%2 cards · 18 starts
XY - Phantom Forces−36%7 cards · 47 starts
Noble Victories−35%1 cards · 63 starts
XY - Primal Clash−16%17 cards · 34 starts
Jumbo Cards−15%25 cards · 26 starts
Plasma Storm−13%8 cards · 69 starts
XY - Roaring Skies−12%20 cards · 21 starts
Boundaries Crossed−10%5 cards · 53 starts
XY - Ancient Origins+1%16 cards · 7 starts
Next Destinies+2%1 cards · 1 starts
XY Base Set+4%6 cards · 69 starts
Plasma Freeze+6%7 cards · 69 starts
XY - Flashfire+6%5 cards · 69 starts
Dragons Exalted+9%3 cards · 69 starts
HGSS Promos+21%1 cards · 7 starts
XY - Furious Fists+21%7 cards · 59 starts
Double Crisis+24%4 cards · 27 starts
Black and White Promos+46%1 cards · 53 starts
Legendary Treasures: Radiant Collection+51%21 cards · 69 starts
XY Promos+53%61 cards · 69 starts
Legendary Treasures+61%7 cards · 30 starts
Emerging Powers+65%2 cards · 64 starts
Black and White+68%2 cards · 68 starts
Dragon Vault+72%5 cards · 18 starts
Undaunted+366%1 cards · 19 starts

07 / 0715+ years

The old-age tail

Historical sets · next 12 months

Varies by set

Sensitive to which sets are counted

One number hides the differences.

Some sets have far more eligible cards than others. Giving every set equal weight changes the result substantially. 21 of 38 sets have fewer than 5 eligible cards.

550 cards · 38 sets

Every tile is one historical set

6 behind32 ahead

Select a tile to inspect its result

Inside the research · sample, dates & limits

Pooled card result: +2%

Does the timing change the result?

Earlier starts+1%Later starts+2%

Start periods split at Jan 31, 2025.

Giving each set equal weight: +54%

The pooled result counts card observations; sets with more eligible cards and dates carry more weight. This check gives every set one vote. It is also sensitive to sets with few eligible cards.

The three most represented sets supply 43% of card observations.

Individual sets in this age band

Base Set (Shadowless)−19%25 cards · 69 starts
Base Set−15%48 cards · 69 starts
Base Set 2−14%37 cards · 69 starts
Legendary Collection−9%2 cards · 28 starts
Jungle−6%52 cards · 69 starts
Fossil−4%47 cards · 69 starts
Gym Heroes+1%57 cards · 69 starts
Neo Genesis+2%29 cards · 69 starts
Team Rocket+6%57 cards · 69 starts
Gym Challenge+9%62 cards · 69 starts
Arceus+21%1 cards · 21 starts
Stormfront+24%2 cards · 6 starts
Neo Discovery+24%5 cards · 69 starts
EX Sandstorm+33%5 cards · 38 starts
WoTC Promo+41%43 cards · 69 starts
Neo Destiny+42%14 cards · 55 starts
Diamond and Pearl+49%1 cards · 14 starts
EX Dragon+49%2 cards · 6 starts
EX Hidden Legends+52%3 cards · 32 starts
EX Holon Phantoms+57%3 cards · 34 starts
EX Delta Species+57%3 cards · 27 starts
EX Unseen Forces+63%1 cards · 23 starts
EX Dragon Frontiers+64%1 cards · 20 starts
EX Crystal Guardians+70%4 cards · 35 starts
Supreme Victors+77%1 cards · 1 starts
Rising Rivals+81%5 cards · 27 starts
Expedition+87%11 cards · 69 starts
Aquapolis+90%10 cards · 29 starts
EX FireRed & LeafGreen+95%3 cards · 18 starts
EX Emerald+103%1 cards · 9 starts
EX Team Rocket Returns+103%2 cards · 24 starts
HeartGold SoulSilver+133%1 cards · 13 starts
Mysterious Treasures+134%2 cards · 27 starts
Neo Revelation+235%5 cards · 29 starts
HGSS Promos+246%1 cards · 35 starts
Undaunted+323%1 cards · 5 starts
EX Team Magma vs Team Aqua+350%2 cards · 6 starts
EX Legend Maker+454%1 cards · 14 starts

Every My First Battle card by price

#	Card	Price	Vs market	Interest	Listings
1	Pikachu (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$29.58	With the market	81	eBay
2	Squirtle (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$21.65	—	34	eBay
3	Bulbasaur (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$20.03	With the market	70	eBay
4	Pikachu Unconfirmed · Normal	$19.04	Beating	98	eBay
5	Squirtle Unconfirmed · Normal	$14.88	With the market	55	eBay
6	Charmander (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$14.29	—	60	eBay
7	Arcanine Unconfirmed · Normal	$11.60	With the market	59	eBay
8	Magikarp Unconfirmed · Normal	$9.56	With the market	43	eBay
9	Gyarados Unconfirmed · Normal	$7.73	With the market	84	eBay
10	Charmander Unconfirmed · Normal	$7.59	With the market	76	eBay
11	Growlithe Unconfirmed · Normal	$5.00	With the market	58	eBay
12	Lapras Unconfirmed · Normal	$3.99	With the market	81	eBay
13	Wartortle Unconfirmed · Normal	$2.82	With the market	68	eBay
14	Ivysaur Unconfirmed · Normal	$1.94	—	-	eBay
15	Basic Water Energy (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$1.77	—	-	eBay
16	Basic Lightning Energy (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$1.47	—	-	eBay
17	Basic Grass Energy (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$1.35	—	-	eBay
18	Basic Fire Energy (Blue Border) Unconfirmed · Normal	$1.11	—	-	eBay
19	Scyther Unconfirmed · Normal	$1.05	—	-	eBay
20	Gloom Unconfirmed · Normal	$1.04	—	-	eBay
21	Raichu Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.97	—	-	eBay
22	Charmeleon Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.96	—	-	eBay
23	Oddish Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.61	—	-	eBay
24	Electabuzz Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.50	—	-	eBay
25	Electrode Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.41	—	-	eBay
26	Magneton Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.36	—	-	eBay
27	Basic Water Energy Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.36	—	-	eBay
28	Magnemite Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.35	—	-	eBay
29	Poliwag Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.33	—	-	eBay
30	Magmar Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.32	—	-	eBay
31	Basic Grass Energy Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.31	—	-	eBay
32	Potion (Pikachu) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.29	—	-	eBay
33	Exeggcute Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.29	—	-	eBay
34	Basic Fire Energy Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.29	—	-	eBay
35	Switch (Bulbasaur) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.27	—	-	eBay
36	Switch (Charmander) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.27	—	-	eBay
37	Potion (Charmander) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.26	—	-	eBay
38	Basic Lightning Energy Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.26	—	-	eBay
39	Exeggutor Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.24	—	-	eBay
40	Switch (Pikachu) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.24	—	-	eBay
41	Potion (Squirtle) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.22	—	-	eBay
42	Voltorb Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.22	—	-	eBay
43	Potion (Bulbasaur) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.22	—	-	eBay
44	Switch (Squirtle) Unconfirmed · Normal	$0.19	—	-	eBay
	Bulbasaur Unconfirmed · Normal	No reliable price	—	74	eBay
	Ninetales Unconfirmed · Normal	No reliable price	—	96	eBay
	Vulpix Unconfirmed · Normal	No reliable price	—	98	eBay
	Poliwhirl Unconfirmed · Normal	No reliable price	—	-	eBay

My First Battle — price of its top cards

Set metrics

Age (days)	1,098
Chase cards, 4 months	+20.1%
Sealed product, 4 months	-
Sealed vs singles	-
Chase value per box	-
Sealed products	-